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Updated: June 4, 2025
In the council of nine members there were also several Loyalists, the most prominent being the Honourable Richard Cartwright, the grandfather of the minister of trade and commerce in the Dominion ministry of 1896-1900.
So that if it were not for this fall in illegitimate births the period 1896-1900 would show a positive rise in the effective rate of increase of .8 per thousand. The eminent persons therefore who ascribe our falling birth-rate to irreligion and so forth, either speak without knowledge or with some sort of knowledge beyond my ken.
Wherever the infant mortality is falling there is an apparent misleading fall in the birth-rate due to the "loading" of the population with children. Here are the sort of figures that are generally given. They are the figures for England and Wales for two typical periods. Period 1846-1850 33 8 births per 1000 Period 1896-1900 28 0 births per 1000 5.8 fall in the birth-rate.
Period 1846-1850 10 5 effective rate of increase Period 1896-1900 10 3 effective rate of increase .2 fall in the rate of increase. But now comes a curious thing that those who praise the good old pre- Board School days the golden age of virtuous innocence ignore. The Illegitimate births in 1846-1850 numbered 2.2 per 1000, in 1896- 1900 they numbered 1.2 per 1000.
This as it stands is very striking. But if we take the death-rates of these two periods we find that they have fallen also. Period 1846-1850 23 3 deaths per 1000 Period 1896-1900 17 7 deaths per 1000 5.6 fall in the death-rate. Let us subtract death-rate from birth-rate and that will give the effective rate of increase of the population.
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